First, I got a note from somebody from Red River Threatres letting me know that she recorded the panel discussion after the screening of Waiting for Superman on Monday night and posted it on-line. Here is a link to the discussion.

http://www.youtube.com/user/RedRiverTheatres?feature=mhum#p/u

 The Nov. 9 discussion is also available. If it doesn’t appear, click on the ‘uploads’ tab. She actually posted a comment here on the blog  which has many links to their site.

 Now onto the budget,

The superintendent will be presenting his budget to the school board tonight at 7 PM at City Hall.

 You have probably heard that it is going to be a very difficult year. The $4+ million of Federal stimulus money, that the district used to pay for kindergarten teachers and assistant principals, is going away this year.

 In addition to the loss of revenue, the costs of salary and benefits are expected to increase significantly. Yesterday Stacey and I stopped by to talk to the Mayor about the Education Foundation and he told us that there will likely be a $10-$11 Million funding gap. In the paper he was quoted as saying that as many as 150 positions may be cut from the school district.

 Last week the Mayor’s office issued a press release stating that the tax rate had gone down from $17.85 in 2009 to $17.84 in 2010.

 Here is what the tax rates have looked like over the past three years

                            Muni                     County                 Local Ed                State Ed.              Total

2010                $9.28                    $ .96                      $5.41                    $2.16                    $17.84

2009                $9.27                    $1.02                    $5.34                    $2.22                    $17.85

2008                $8.05                    $1.04                    $5.98                    $2.28                    $17.35

 

One piece of good news is that the NH Supreme Court overturned the Tax Cap saying that it interferes with state laws that grant the power to set the budget with the aldermen.  Eventually someone will pass a law in Concord saying that this is OK. In the meantime, it can’t be enforced.  And that is good news because the tax cap limits budget and tax increases to the rate of the Consumer Price Index for the previous year. In 2009 the CPI was -.04% There is a provision to override it with a 2/3 vote but that won’t matter this year.

 About 1/3 of our education funding comes from the state in the form of an adequacy grant . Last year we got $49 Million. That was less than we were supposed to get under the transition plan for the new formula, but given the state of the economy the amount was frozen. They only way the state was able to pay us that much was by using stimulus money.  This year they have $21 Million of that money left to put toward state adequacy grants.

The Mayor wants the teachers’ union to open their contract again this year and renegotiate their health insurance contribution. The MEA leadership has said they have no intention of doing that. I have been told that teachers currently contribute 5%. If that is not accurate, please let me know.

 In 2009 the tax base was about $9.75 Billion. I am waiting for the tax rate to be posted on the NH DRA site so I can compare apples to apples, but I think the tax base remained fairly stable between 2009-2010. Hopefully it will remain stable going forward. If it does, the aldermen would need to raise the tax rate on schools by about $1.00 to make up the shortfall.  Based on ten years of watching this process, I will tell you that that would be politically risky, but not impossible. I think it would be wise for us to start saying that an increase in the tax rate, given the circumstances, is reasonable.

 I have been doing this for ten years now so I leave out a lot of details. Please feel free to respond to this e-mail if you need clarification about something. This is a closed newsletter so the reply goes to me alone. I am going to post this whole thing on the blog.